Summary of Current COVID-19 Epidemiology – 2 November 2020

Key Points

A total of 2,405 residents of North East Lincolnshire have had a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 (based on Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 Testing) which is an increase of 852 cases over the last week (the biggest week on week increase in confirmed cases that has been reported).  The seven day rate of new cases now stands at 377 per 100,000. This has increased from 306 per 100,000 one week ago and has doubled in 14 days compared to a doubling rate of seven days the previous week. 

Therefore although it is the highest figure that we have seen it represents a significant slow down in the overall rate of growth suggesting that we are close to a peak in the infection rate in North East Lincolnshire. 

Nationally there has been a significant increase in the number of positive COVID-19 tests in recent weeks. We are now seeing clear signs of an increase in hospital inpatients and deaths. In North East Lincolnshire analysis of cases confirmed since 1 October suggests an even spread across the working age population, but evidence that the rate of growth may now have stopped in that population. By contrast we are continuing to see a rapid increase in the number of cases in people over the age of 65. This is likely to put a significant burden on our hospital services over the coming weeks. Geographically cases are occurring in all parts of the borough with the highest numbers over the last two weeks reported in Haverstoe, South, Heneage and Scartho wards. 

NLaG report that there are 48 patients with confirmed COVID-19 in Grimsby Hospital (as of 2 November), an increase of ten from the previous week.  This is the most at any point during the pandemic and represents a substantial increase since the beginning of October.

The number of cases in our care homes has grown significantly in the last week with eight care homes currently treating a total of 60 residents for COVID-19. This is the highest number of cases within our care homes since the spring. 

We are now experiencing regular, small outbreaks in a range of settings including social clubs, spas and gyms. However the largest number of outbreaks are occurring in workplaces and schools. The disease is now largely endemic across the North East Lincolnshire population.

For details full report download the Summary of Current COVID-19 Epidemiology 2 November 2020 (Word, 121KB) .